Prabhudas Lilladher's research report on VIP Industries
We initiate coverage on VIP Industries Ltd (VIP) with a BUY rating given market leadership (~50% revenue share) in the organized luggage industry, well-diversified product portfolio (six brands and multiple SKUs exceeding 1,500) and solid brand salience (brand-ex is ~5-7% of sales). Strong distribution network (~11,000 touch points), GST implementation (narrowed pricing gap with unorganized players resulting in up-trading) and entry into the under penetrated ladies hand bags and backpack market is likely to drive sales/PAT at a CAGR of 23.7%/25.1% over FY18-21E. While headwinds from currency & crude volatility prevail, product premiumisation (rising share of Caprese and Carlton) and increase in production from captive facilities at Bangladesh will aid in 40bps EBITDA margin expansion over FY18-21E.
Outlook
We expect premium valuations (32.7x FY20E and 25.3x FY21E) to sustain given strong growth prospects, debt free BS, high return ratios (RoE/RoCE of 25.6%/36.9% in FY18; to expand by 230bps/310bps over FY18-21E), and healthy dividend pay-out (average 41% over last 5 years). Initiate with a BUY and TP of Rs579.
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Read More First Published on Mar 25, 2019 05:16 pm
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