3/26/2014

Employee gripes: Health care costs, low raises

Cost-cutting by big companies in response to the changing business landscape has their employees worried about money.

Three out of four employees of big corporations say some of their companies' recent decisions, such as increasing health care premiums and giving smaller raises, are hurting employees' finances, a new survey shows.

"The last two years have been a period of rapid change among large employers which has required them to take measures to cut costs," says Shane Bartling, a senior consultant at Towers Watson, a human resources consulting firm, which sponsored the survey of 4,248 full-time employees at companies with 1,000 or more workers.

When employees were asked about changes their companies have made in the last two years:

• 47% said their employer had layoffs.

• 38% said their employer significantly increased health care premiums or out-of-pocket medical expenses.

• 32% said their companies reduced pay increases.

• 24% mentioned cuts or significant changes in retirement benefits.

The survey also showed that 47% of employees are worried about their current finances; 58% are worried about their future finances. "Clearly the level of worry is correlated to employers' actions," Bartling says.

STORY: Five tips for boosting your savings

STORY: Retirement: A third have less than $1,000 saved

Most (83%) people say their savings falls short of the recommended amount, while 60% say they need to save more if they hope to retire comfortably, the survey found.

The new data come on the heels of another report out last week which showed how little money many people have saved. About 36% of workers have less than $1,000 in savings and investments that could be used for retirement, not counting their primary residence or defined benefits plans such as traditional pensions, and 60% of workers have less than $25,000, according to a telephone survey of 1,000 workers and 501 retirees from the non-profit Employee Benefit Research! Institute and Greenwald and Associates.

"It is a tough situation out there when it comes to cutting benefits," says financial planner Anthony Saccaro, president of Providence Financial and Insurance Services in Woodland Hills, Calif. "I understand why companies are doing it. Quite frankly, there are a lot of unknowns including taxes and Obamacare."

Some people may want to bail from their current company, but it's often difficult to find another job, especially for older employees, he says.

If you are making a decent salary, there may be advantages to sticking with your current company, even if you don't get another pay raise, he says.

People need to do the research to figure out how much they need to retire, he says. There is a small percentage of people who think they can't retire, but they have enough money to retire comfortably as long as they are prudent with their money and invest it wisely, he says.

3/25/2014

Ahead of Earnings, Lululemon Is Still Not Cheap

Lululemon Athletica Inc. (NASDAQ: LULU) is due to report earnings this week, and the reality that investors need to face is that it is still not exactly a cheap stock. One report from Canaccord Genuity said that the sporting and yoga-themed apparel company’s 2014 guidance could be the last domino to fall.

The analyst lowered estimates to brace for another round of bad news, but it maintained its formal Buy rating while lowering its price target to $69 from $73 per share.

What 24/7 Wall St. wants to show is that Lululemon simply remains an expensive stock. The only good news is that it is not a wildly expensive one. Still, the damage done here seems severe enough that its chance to stage a snapback stock price rally and a snapback recovery in its image has likely come and gone.

What is interesting is that in the past 90 days, the earnings estimate for this quarter has only dropped by seven cents per share, or about 10%. Shares have fallen more than 16% in that time, but they are down 40% from the $82.50 peak of 2013.

On top of that, the $7.1 billion market cap is roughly 4.5 times its sales. Again, the company has offended some of its customers directly and other customers have decided to spend their money elsewhere.

Now, let’s go out a year to see where Lululemon is still expensive. The Thomson Reuters consensus earnings per share estimate is $2.16 (growth of 14%). Sales growth is expected to remain 15%. With all the problems that Lululemon has had, its stock still trades at almost 23 times earnings, based on a $49 share price.

The question is whether Lululemon can grow this much in the year ahead after posting only about 2% growth in the past year or so. Unfortunately, the retailer may have to get that sales growth from opening more stores rather than milking out higher and higher sales from its comparable stores, open a year or more.

Our question is what sort of growth shareholders really will see at Lululemon. A $7 billion value sounds high, but it was valued at more than $10 billion in market cap before its problems knocked it down.

Lululemon reports earnings on Thursday. We will follow up with a more detailed earnings preview ahead of the report.