Can Goldcorp Beat These Numbers?

Goldcorp (NYSE: GG  ) is expected to report Q4 earnings on Feb. 14. Here's what Wall Street wants to see:

The 10-second takeaway
Comparing the upcoming quarter to the prior-year quarter, average analyst estimates predict Goldcorp's revenues will expand 4.8% and EPS will compress -16.7%.

The average estimate for revenue is $1.59 billion. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.55.

Revenue details
Last quarter, Goldcorp reported revenue of $1.54 billion. GAAP reported sales were 18% higher than the prior-year quarter's $1.31 billion.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
Last quarter, non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.54. GAAP EPS of $0.61 for Q3 were 49% higher than the prior-year quarter's $0.41 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Recent performance
For the preceding quarter, gross margin was 58.0%, 680 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 33.9%, 1,190 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 32.4%, 670 basis points better than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead

The full year's average estimate for revenue is $5.52 billion. The average EPS estimate is $1.98.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a three-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 2,178 members out of 2,325 rating the stock outperform, and 147 members rating it underperform. Among 395 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 357 give Goldcorp a green thumbs-up, and 38 give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Goldcorp is outperform, with an average price target of $51.26.

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