11/30/2012

Overstock.com Is O.co Loco

It's no longer all about the "O" at Overstock.com (Nasdaq: OSTK  ) .

The online retailer specializing in overstocks, closeouts, and other clearance bin fodder is taking a step back from its aggressive O.co rebranding.

Months of marketing campaigns, changing the name of its sporting coliseum in Oakland, and actively pushing its O.co domain as a shortcut to Overstock.com isn't working as well as the e-tailer would like. There are way too many people that confuse O.co with O.com -- which hasn't been made available, even to Oprah Winfrey -- and it's also not easy to rebrand a company.

Overstock.com President Jonathan Johnson is telling Advertising Age that the tactical retreat may be temporary, but the timing is suspect. The Web-based retailer just released an O.co iPad app yesterday. Johnson explains that the O.co push will continue internationally and in mobile, though it's probably not a coincidence that it's retreating domestically a week before the start of the holiday shopping season. If customers are showing any kind of resistance to the abridged moniker, there's no point in messing around when there's real money to be made in the coming weeks.

There's no reason why O.co shouldn't have panned out. Generic names -- like Overstock.com -- aren't necessary in cyberspace. In fact, they often present branding challenges.

Consider the more successful Internet storefronts. Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN  ) didn't seem like a logical name for a bookseller in the mid-1990s. Blue Nile (Nasdaq: NILE  ) has mastered high-end jewelry. These two companies took on Buy.com and Ice.com -- rivals with short and to the point domains. Done right, a good brand is better than a great name.

Say it ain't O, Overstock.com.

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Dimon set to testify on JPMorgan loss

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon will testify before the Senate Banking Committee about his bank's multi-billion-dollar loss on June 13.

Last week, Senate Banking Chairman Tim Johnson said he was looking for Dimon to testify on June 7 about the loss, but Thursday's statement about the hearing said June 13 is the only date that works for both Dimon and the committee's schedule.

The bank originally reported the $2 billion trading loss on May 10, but since then estimates of the size of the loss have risen. Some believe the losses could reach between $6 billion to $7 billion.

"I expect Mr. Dimon to come prepared to provide the committee a better understanding of this massive trading loss so we can take the implications into account as we continue to conduct our robust oversight over the full implementation of Wall Street reform," Banking Committee chairman Tim Johnson said in a statement at that time.

Others are also looking into the loss, including the FBI and federal regulators such as the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

Who made money on JPMorgan's bad trade

The subject of the loss has already come up at other hearings of the Senate Banking Committee, which is looking into implementing the Dodd-Frank financial system reform signed into law in 2010. It is likely to come up at another hearing on that subject on June 6 when various regulators are set to testify about Dodd-Frank.

Dimon has been a vocal critic of some of the Dodd-Frank rules, as have Republican members of the Senate. He conceded at the press conference at which he announced the loss that "it plays right into the hands of pundits out there, but that's life."

He has insisted that while the loss was caused by "errors," "sloppiness" and "bad judgment" by traders at the bank, that it did not violate Dodd-Frank rules, such as the so-called Volcker Rule, which prohibits banks from using their own capital to make bets on the direction of the market.

JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500) shares have lost more than 18% of their value since announcing the loss, wiping out their gains for the year. Shares were up 0.3% in trading Thursday. 

Belo Beats on EPS but GAAP Results Lag

Belo (NYSE: BLC  ) reported earnings on Feb. 7. Here are the numbers you need to know.

The 10-second takeaway
For the quarter ended Dec. 31 (Q4), Belo met expectations on revenues and beat expectations on earnings per share.

Compared to the prior-year quarter, revenue shrank and GAAP earnings per share dropped significantly.

Gross margins grew, operating margins contracted, and net margins contracted.

Revenue details
Belo logged revenue of $180.3 million. The four analysts polled by S&P Capital IQ predicted sales of $180.5 million. Sales were 13% lower than the prior-year quarter's $206.2 million.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions.

EPS details
Non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.26. The four earnings estimates compiled by S&P Capital IQ forecast $0.24 per share on the same basis. GAAP EPS of $0.29 for Q4 were 24% lower than the prior-year quarter's $0.38 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Figures may be non-GAAP to maintain comparability with estimates.

Margin details
For the quarter, gross margin was 68.0%, 1,840 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 33.9%, 450 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 16.9%, 240 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead
Next quarter's average estimate for revenue is $157.5 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.12.

Next year's average estimate for revenue is $722.3 million. The average EPS estimate is $0.91.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a three-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 102 members out of 128 rating the stock outperform, and 26 members rating it underperform. Among 43 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 39 give Belo a green thumbs-up, and four give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Belo is outperform, with an average price target of $8.33.

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Stocks Speed Higher on Earnings Fuel

The major U.S. equity averages finished with mild gains Thursday up as an IBM(IBM)-led rally in technology offset a weak batch of economic data.

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average added nearly 35 points, or 0.27%, to close at 12,943. The blue-chip index, which has risen in four of the past five sessions, is now up 5.9% year-to-date.

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IBM was the standout performer with a gain of nearly 4% to $195.34 after Big Blue eased past Wall Street's expectations for its latest quarter and lifted its earnings outlook. Because the Dow is price-weighted and IBM has the highest per share price in the index, the impact of its advance was considerable.Other blue-chip winners included Boeing(BA), Chevron(CVX) and United Technologies(UTX). American Express(AXP) was one of the Dow's biggest decliners, losing 3.5%, after the credit card company came in short of Wall Street's revenue expectations in its second quarter. Other blue chips in decline included AT&T(T), Bank of America(BAC), Verizon(VZ), which also reported its quarterly numbers, and Wal-Mart Stores(WMT). The S&P 500 tacked on 4 points, or 0.27%, to settle at 1376.51, while the Nasdaq added more than 23 points, or 0.79%, at 2966.Aside from technology, basic materials and consumer cyclicals were the strongest sectors in the broad market. Financials were weak. The earnings headlines from tech heavyweights kept coming after Thursday's closing bell as both Google(GOOG) and Microsoft(MSFT) topped Wall Street's profit expectations with their quarterly reports but came in light on revenue. Google reported non-GAAP earnings of $3.35 billion, or $10.12 a share, on revenue excluding traffic acquisition costs of $8.36 billion for the second quarter vs. the average analysts' estimate for a profit of $10.04 a share on revenue of $8.41 billion. Thanks to strength in its server and tools business, Microsoft posted a non-GAAP profit of $6.93 billion, or 73 cents a share, for its fiscal fourth quarter. Revenue totaled $18.06 billion. The consensus was for earnings of 62 cents a share on revenue of $18.13 billion. In other corporate news, Shares of Qualcomm(QCOM) jumped 4.26% to $58.44 following its third-quarter report despite an earnings miss and lowered fourth-quarter guidance. The weaker outlook was attributed to a supply shortage rather than problems with customer demand, which the company said is robust.After suffering through a botched initial public offering of Facebook(FB) and a two-notch ratings downgrade, Morgan Stanley(MS) reported a big earnings miss as revenue and earnings per share fell short of expectations. Shares fell 5.29% to $13.25. eBay(EBAY) on Wednesday reported quarterly earnings of 56 cents a share on revenue of $3.39 billion. Analysts were looking for profit of 55 cents a share on revenue of $3.41 billion. The online auctioneer saw huge growth in at its PayPal division, which saw revenue rise 26% year over year. Shares surged up 8.63% to $43.95.The FTSE in London settled up 0.5% and the DAX in Germany closed ahead by 1.11% amid the cheer spread by consensus-topping corporate earnings reports and as the German Parliament approved a rescue package for Spain's deeply troubled banks by a large majority. The package is valued at up to €100 billion ($122 billion). September crude oil futures rose $2.80 to settle at $92.97 a barrel, booking a seventh straight day of gains. August gold futures surged $9.60 to settle at $1,580.40 an ounce. The benchmark 10-year Treasury was down 5/32, lifting the yield to 1.517%, while the greenback was off 0.12%, according to the dollar index.The U.S. economic calendar on Thursday included weekly initial jobless claims, existing home sales, the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's business outlook survey and the Conference Board's index of leading economic indicators.

The Labor Department said that initial jobless claims for the week ended July 14 rose 34,000 to 386,000 from the week before upwardly revised 352,000, amid payback from the previous week's favorable seasonal factors. Economists polled by Thomson Reuters expected that claims would rise to 365,000.

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"The rebound in the latest weekly data is causing debate over whether [seasonal] adjustments are boosting or offsetting the weekly data," said Andrew Wilkinson, chief economic strategist at Miller Tabak. "And while it is hard to conclude a clear view at this point, it is hard to judge whether the picture is better or worse although the weight of other anecdotal evidence surrounding the labor market tells us things are slightly worse."

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The four-week moving average of claims declined by 1,500 to 375,500. Continuing claims for the week ended July 7 rose by 1,000 to 3.314 million. The Conference Board's leading economic indicators index for the U.S. declined 0.3% in June to 95.6, following a slightly upwardly-revised 0.4% increase in May. Economists on average expected a smaller decline of 0.1% in June. "The U.S. LEI declined in two of the last six months, and its six-month growth rate has eased in the last three months," said Ataman Ozyildirim, economist at The Conference Board. "The strengths among the leading indicators have become less widespread as consumer expectations and manufacturing new orders offset gains in the financial, labor, and construction-related components."Simultaneously, the Philly Fed reported that its business outlook survey's broadest measure of manufacturing conditions, the diffusion index of current activity, improved to minus 12.9 in July from minus 16.6 in June, but marked the third straight negative reading for the index. Economists thought the index would improve to minus 8 in July.Also, the National Association of Realtors reported that existing home sales declined 5.4% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.37 million in June from an upwardly revised 4.62 million in May, but are 4.5% higher than the 4.18 million-unit level in June 2011. Economists, on average, predicted that existing home sales rose to a 4.63 million an annual rate in June.

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Fitch Affirms U.S. AAA, Cuts Outlook To Negative

Uncle Sam keeps AAA rating at Fitch, for the time being.

Well, the failure of the Supercommittee has not resulted in another ratings downgrade for Uncle Sam yet.

Fitch Ratings announced after the closing bell Monday that it will not join McGraw-Hill�s Standard & Poor�s in cutting the U.S. government�s AAA credit rating, a move that firm made in August when the debate over raising the debt ceiling turned into an acrimonious partisan debacle.

The affirmation of the AAA rating Monday, Fitch said:

reflects still strong economic and credit fundamentals. U.S. sovereign liabilities, both the dollar and Treasury securities, remain the global benchmark and accordingly the U.S. credit profile benefits from unparalleled financing flexibility and enhanced debt tolerance, even relative to other large �AAA�-rated sovereigns. The U.S. dollar�s status as the pre-eminent global reserve currency and depth of the U.S. Treasury market render financing risks minimal and underpin a low cost of fiscal funding.

Fitch�s latest projections see the federal debt burden topping 90% of GDP and interest accounting for more than 20% of tax revenues by 2020. Throw in local and state debts and gross government debt climbs to 110% of GDP. That level �would no longer be consistent with the U.S. retaining its �AAA� status despite its underlying strengths.�

The ratings agency said it has declining confidence that Congress will put the U.S. on a more sustainable fiscal path, after the Supercommittee failed to find at least $1.2 trillion to cut out of the federal budget over the next decade by last week�s deadline. Last week, Moody�s said its rating was unaffected by the Supercommittee coming up empty, and added Monday that the lack of a deal does not affect its fiscal outlook on the U.S.

Fitch warns that the $1 trillion of automatic across-the-board cuts triggered by the failure of the Supercommittee is primarily focused in discretionary spending, no recipe for long-term fiscal responsibility. �Further deficit reduction will not be credible if it relies solely on further cuts in discretionary spending rather than reform to entitlements and taxation,� Fitch says.

The firm�s negative outlook means there is a better than 50% chance of downgrade over the next two years, but Fitch said it does not expect to resolve the outlook until late 2013 absent any �material adverse shocks,� so that it can take into account �any deficit-reduction strategy that emerges after the Congressional and Presidential elections.�

If yields on U.S. Treasury securities are any indication, the uncertainty around global economic growth and the European sovereign debt crisis are far more pressing concerns to investors than America�s growing deficit. Even after S&P�s downgrade in August, yields have declined as the market continued to treat U.S. debt as one of the few safe havens in times of stress. The 10-year yield currently sits just below 2%, and has shown few signs of moving very far above that level at a time when Europe�s debt picture continues to look far worse than the one on this side of the Atlantic.

Muni Bonds That Can Kick It Up a Notch

With high-grade municipal bonds offering meager yields, investors seeking an income jolt are embracing a slightly more exotic product known as "kicker" bonds.

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Unlike traditional municipal bonds, which have set term dates of 10 years or more, kicker bonds can be called much sooner and unexpectedly -- an unattractive feature for a retiree wanting a set-it-and-forget approach to receiving regular checks. They also sell at a premium to the price investors receive when the bonds mature. But investors get rewarded for that uncertainty -- and that premium -- with income payouts that can be double those of regular munis, plus the potential for an extra "kick" down the road.

Interest in these bonds waxes and wanes with the state of interest rates, but in today's low-rate climate, they have turned the $3 trillion muni market on its head. Barclays Capital says they now account for 64% of its Municipal Bond index, nearly twice the share from a year ago.

Fans of such premium callable bonds, sometimes called "cushion" bonds, are betting that the Federal Reserve is likely to raise interest rates slowly in coming years. If that happens, kicker bonds could prove a good portfolio protector, says Peter Hayes, head of BlackRock's municipal bond team.

Indeed, the kick comes if for some reason the issuer elects not to call these bonds early -- usually because interest rates have risen and refinancing becomes unattractive. In that circumstance, the bond owners get bonus years collecting the higher yield.

Even if the issuer pays back early, the investor will have collected higher payments than with standard bonds. "It's kind of a win-win," says John Bonnell, portfolio manager of four municipal bond funds at USAA. "In either scenario you're getting better yield."

However, there is another potential downside for investors: If the bonds are paid back early because of a lower-rate environment, owners could be left holding cash with no good places to put it.

In part for that reason, regular investors have typically shied away from kickers, favoring run-of-the-mill munis for their stability. Demand has helped push the average yield on a Triple-A 10-year muni to a current 1.9% from 3.5% in January 2011, according to Thomson Reuters Municipal Market Data.

But now a growing number of firms, including Deutsche Bank (DBK.XE), Wells Fargo (WFC) and LPL Financial are urging clients to buy kickers instead. Patrick Early, chief municipal analyst with Wells Fargo Advisors, points out that a triple-A rated kicker bond with a 5% coupon would yield about 1.75% if it was called at its first possible chance in six years -- almost double that of a current market muni that matures over that period.

Phil Condon, head of municipal bond portfolio management for DWS Investments, says he is selling regular munis to snap up more kicker bonds. He recommends investors look at long-term bonds with 10 years or more between the bond's call date and maturity date. If they aren't called at the first date, Mr. Condon says, the investor will keep collecting the higher interest.

Is MySpace For Sale?

Is News Corp. (NWS) trying to find someone to buy MySpace?

That question was raised in a post this morning by TechCrunch founder Michael Arrington in a response to a Wall Street Journal story this morning which notes that MySpace is talking to Google, Microsoft and Yahoo about replacing the social network’s advertising partnership with Google, which is about to expire. Arrington notes that MySpace has been getting $300 million a year from the current deal, and that it is likely to get a lot less from whatever arrangement takes its place.

Arrington asserts out that the company’s Fox Audience Network unit, which serve most of the ads on MySpace, is up for sale, and has at least one bidder in Silver Lake Partners. He concludes that if FAN is sold, “it’s a solid bet that MySpace will quickly be sold, too,” as “the two companies live off each other.”

Disclosure: News Corp. publishes this blog, in addition to owning both MySpace and the Wall Street Journal.

Whole Foods: A Taste for Double-Digit Growth

This morning I made a list of companies that have had double-digit growth in both sales and earnings and are projected to have that double-digit growth continue. I then ran them against the Barchart technical indicators and Whole Foods Markets (WFMI) came up on top of the list.

Whole Foods Market is the largest purveyor of natural foods in the world. The company owns and operates the country's largest chain of natural food supermarkets. The company is like an old-fashioned neighborhood grocery store, an organic farmer's market, a European bakery, a New York deli, and a modern supermarket all rolled into one. The company also offers a variety of non-perishable natural products on its Web site at wholefoods.com.

If you visit one of the stores, don't expect to find one of those hippy granola bar shops of the 70s or a Pumping Iron protein drink joint. The company offers a lot of high end organic fresh food and even organic wine and beer. If you're going to drink, why not drink without guilt?

1 Reason RadioShack Looks Less Attractive

Margins matter. The more RadioShack (NYSE: RSH  ) keeps of each buck it earns in revenue, the more money it has to invest in growth, fund new strategic plans, or (gasp!) distribute to shareholders. Healthy margins often separate pretenders from the best stocks in the market. That's why we check up on margins at least once a quarter in this series. I'm looking for the absolute numbers, so I can compare them to current and potential competitors, and any trend that may tell me how strong RadioShack's competitive position could be.

Here's the current margin snapshot for RadioShack over the trailing 12 months: Gross margin is 40.8%, while operating margin is 4.4% and net margin is 1.6%.

Unfortunately, a look at the most recent numbers doesn't tell us much about where RadioShack has been, or where it's going. A company with rising gross and operating margins often fuels its growth by increasing demand for its products. If it sells more units while keeping costs in check, its profitability increases. Conversely, a company with gross margins that inch downward over time is often losing out to competition, and possibly engaging in a race to the bottom on prices. If it can't make up for this problem by cutting costs -- and most companies can't -- then both the business and its shares face a decidedly bleak outlook.

Of course, over the short term, the kind of economic shocks we recently experienced can drastically affect a company's profitability. That's why I like to look at five fiscal years' worth of margins, along with the results for the trailing 12 months, the last fiscal year, and last fiscal quarter (LFQ). You can't always reach a hard conclusion about your company's health, but you can better understand what to expect, and what to watch.

Here's the margin picture for RadioShack over the past few years.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Dollar amounts in millions. FY = fiscal year. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Because of seasonality in some businesses, the numbers for the last period on the right -- the TTM figures -- aren't always comparable to the FY results preceding them. Here's how the stats break down:

  • Over the past five years, gross margin peaked at 47.3% and averaged 44.6%. Operating margin peaked at 9.2% and averaged 7.7%. Net margin peaked at 5.6% and averaged 4.3%.
  • TTM gross margin is 40.8%, 380 basis points worse than the five-year average. TTM operating margin is 4.4%, 330 basis points worse than the five-year average. TTM net margin is 1.6%, 270 basis points worse than the five-year average.

With recent TTM operating margins below historical averages, RadioShack has some work to do.

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11/29/2012

Americans keep their clunkers longer

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- The average vehicle on America's roads is almost 11 years old, according to the auto market analysts at Polk.

The 10.8-year average is the highest figure recorded since Polk began tracking vehicle age in 1995. Back then, the average was just 8.4 years.

Vehicle age has increased rapidly over the last five years as new vehicle sales have slowed. Polk's analysis is based on vehicle registration data.

Older cars represent an opportunity for some businesses.

"Dealer service departments and independent repair facilities, as well as aftermarket parts suppliers, will see increased business opportunity with customers in need of vehicle service," said Mark Seng, global aftermarket practice leader at Polk.

With vehicles getting older, fewer cars are covered under their original factory warranty, said Seng. That presents a challenge for auto dealers to bring those customers back into the dealership service department.

The number of cars under warranty is now the lowest it's been in the last 12 to 15 years, he said, and drivers whose cars aren't under warranty tend not to go to the dealer.

Chrysler Group, maker of Chrysler, Dodge and Jeep vehicles, has been particularly aggressive in separately promoting its Mopar parts and service brand.

Bryan Zvibleman, a spokesman for Mopar, said the company has made a number of changes to capture business from customers with older cars.

Chrysler Group dealers now offer Saturday service hours in 80% of their locations, Zvibleman said, and a third now offer "quick service" lanes. Mopar has also introduced a line of low-priced parts and has partnered with auto parts maker Magneti Marelli to sell parts and service for non-Chrysler vehicles through Chrysler dealerships.

A decrease in annual miles driven, tied to the struggling economy, has somewhat offset increased demand for car parts, said Mike Odell, chief executive of the Pep Boys (PBY) parts and service chain.

Still, Odell said, the aging fleet has been good for business.

"The older a vehicle is, it's more likely things wear and tear, and there's more parts to be replaced," he said.

Cool cars from the Detroit auto show

The improved quality of cars has a lot do with the aging fleet, Seng said. As a percentage of cars on the road, those less than three years old have decreased while those over 11 years old have increased, he said, an indication that people are now comfortable driving very old cars.

Increased new vehicle sales this year and last will probably slow down the aging of America's vehicle fleet.

America's total population of cars and light trucks had been declining since 2008, but that turned around last year. As of July 2011, there were about 240.5 million cars in operation, a rebound from about 240 million the year before. But that's still lower than the more than 242 million cars on the road in 2008.

The aging fleet means there's still a lot of pent-up demand for new cars, said Seng.

In addition, people's needs are changing and that will result in more car sales. "We see the crossover SUV and SUV segments really beginning to take off," he said. 

What Are Rare Earth Metals and Why Invest in Rare Earth Metals?

Because of the products that rare earth metals are used in, makes them vital and extremely necessary to source. They never used to be mined so easily but with technology today, extracting them and smelting them into exactly the use we need them for has become much simpler.

So what are rare earth metals and what are they used for?

For starters, even though they are abundant within the earth’s crust they are only found in specific locations. They are not spread out around the world which means that only a few countries control these metals. The main country that controls this market is China. It is estimated that China control over 90% of the metals and export much of it, though there has been plenty of debate as to how little the percentage of the exports China is exporting to foreign countries in relation to what China actually produce. Basically what this means is they can control the market prices, as well as decide how much they want to export.

There are numerous uses for these metals, and in particular they consist of catalytic, electrical, chemical, metallurgical, nuclear, optical or magnetic. These 7 uses that we just listed give a very good indication as to why they are used so often in high technology products. An example of the types of products that they are used for include batteries, computer and smart phone screens, colour in TV sets and for use in wind turbines. One of the main things that give them this use is the magnetic fields that can be generated from the conversion of the metals. One major use of these magnetic fields and magnets is in hybrid cars which are going to become more and more important as time passes.

Investing in rare earth metals

There are many different investment firms that can help you get started with investing in rare earth metals. These investments can be extremely lucrative if done right and chosen properly. Some metals are only going to become more important and thus have their value increase over time. It is just as important to find the right investment company that can help you do things such as learn how to trade, chat with an expert or even get started and open a trading account right away. With the increasing importance of rare earth metals you should start now if you’re on the edge.

London Metal Group specialise in Rare Earth Investments, Rare Earth Commodities and Rare Earth Metals, we aim to offer investors a professional service which can enable them to make wise and profitable choices in this particular investment arena. You can get a copy of our Complimentary Investment guide at Rare Earth Metals

As Dimon Speaks, Street Says ‘It Could be Worse’

Every time JPMorgan Chase (JPM) Jamie Dimon speaks before Congress, the company’s stock goes up. Today he’s appearing before a House committee, and shares are up 2.3%. This could be a fluke — there’s other good news out there today regarding bank stocks and the overall market is up — but it certainly indicates that investors aren’t too worried about what questions the representatives might ask.

Meredith Whitney, who knows a thing or two about being on the top and then the bottom of the world, told Bloomberg TV today that Dimon is parrying this issue well — in fact, he’s doing even better than that.

“He had a couple tough questions, but he is, like nobody else, the antithesis of [Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd] Blankfein,” she told Bloomberg TV. “He charms. He�s incredible. He gave the senators a massage and they gave him a massage back. You see a complete juxtaposition between the two, and it’s theater�I think what you saw last week is everybody’s trying to argue for, oh, JPMorgan, come rebuild your branches in our hometowns and create jobs. As we said, it’s political theater.”

That’s not to say Dimon has nothing to explain — Whitney is convinced that some of JPM’s complicated “hedging” trades were really proprietary trading. “I don’t think it’s been explained well at all�Hedging for credit and to take such a disproportionately weighted bet seems curious to me.”

Evercore analyst Andrew Marquardt also noted that the Fed has been examining whether JP Morgan’s other units as just as vulnerable as the company’s chief investment office. So far, they haven’t found anything, Fed General Counsel Scott Alvarez noted in a statement to be delivered today.

Marquardt sees it as an “incremental positive that no evidence [has been] found yet.”

To watch the hearings live, go to C-Span or check out the Wall Street Journal live-blog.

Getting Girls to Like You

There are tried and tested ways of how to get girls to like you, but in most instances, you just cannot get the outcome that you want every time you try. Maybe it has something to do with the way you look. Perhaps it has something to do with the way you carry yourself. Whatever the reason for your failure may be, this article can help you put things in order so that you can make yourself appealing to the girls. Thus, use the following tips wisely and you will eventually succeed in the end.

The first tip on how to get girls to like you is to pay attention to your physical appearance through wearing the right clothes. Though this tip seems overly simple, it actually does the trick, most especially if the guy is not blessed with particularly great looks. Why does work? It works because girls notice if a guy has a wrinkled shirt that looks like something he slept in the night before and prefer the guy who looks clean. So, always be aware of the in things to wear so that you won’t seem out of fashion.

The second tip on getting girls to like you is to develop a great personality. This requires that you send across the idea that you are a great person to talk to and hang around with. For this tip, you should remember to hold your shoulders back, keep your head high, and manage your hand movements. In the same way that your trendy clothes create an impact on the ladies, your body language also does as much. Thus, always make a point of keeping your body language positive, not negative.

The third effective way of getting girls to like you is to stand out from the crowd. This means that even from the very minute that you step inside the bar, you manage to convey authority. You can achieve this by being the man whom almost everyone knows in the bar; thus, you have to be friendly with everyone, even with the bartender and the waiters. When the girls see you as “the” man, your image is elevated a notch higher in their eyes. This is good for you as girls instinctively search for the alpha male.

This leads us to the fourth effective way of how to get girls to like you: pick a good opener. Yes, this is the next part as the first three ways have already paved the way for this tip. Yes, the girls have seen that you look great, you have positive body language, and you are in authority. The next thing they want to find out is whether you sound as interesting as you look. Thus, always assess the situation involving you and the ladies and base your pickup line on the whole scenario.

To summarize, getting the kind of attention you want from the girls is not such a hard thing to do. In fact, it is quite attainable, if you know the tips and you carry them to completion. Thus, when you want the girls to notice you, you have to do four things: wear clean and trendy clothes, have positive body language, be a guy in authority, and use a great and interesting pickup line. Of course, you have to choose a pickup line that fits the situation that you and the girls are in. If you follow all these tips by heart, you can be sure that you will succeed in getting the girls to like you all the time.

Here’s a website that I think you’ll enjoy: how to talk to girls or saving relationship

Stock futures up after extended losing run

MARKETWATCH FRONT PAGE

U.S. stock futures rose Friday as Chinese data advanced thinking of further efforts to stimulate the global economy and as J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. reported a second-quarter earnings drop. See full story.

Stocks to watch Friday: Lexmark, New York & Co.

MarketWatch�s daily rundown of corporate headlines of interest to investors early Friday. See full story.

Resource firms lead Europe higher after China data

European stock are poised to break a two-day losing streak on Friday, as resource firms led markets higher after second-quarter growth from China met market expectations in cooling to 7.6%. See full story.

Euro straddles $1.22-level after Italy�s downgrade

The euro straddles the $1.22-level after Moody�s cut Italy�s government bond ratings by two notches and the country sold new three-year bonds, while the greenback edged lower against many global rivals after Chinese economic data proved in line with expectations. See full story.

PFGBest debacle riles commodity futures industry

Commodity traders have seen their fair share of action this year, but now must also face growing concerns over the integrity of futures trading in the wake of the latest regulatory investigation. See full story.

MARKETWATCH COMMENTARY

As executives, investors, �future astronauts,� reporters and the Branson family gather at the Farnborough Air Show to wallow in the potential of exploring the outer reaches, our man, Shawn Langlois, draws a line. See full story.

MARKETWATCH PERSONAL FINANCE

It�s a situation that seems to defy supply-and-demand logic: If there�s more demand in the housing market, wouldn�t the cost of borrowing funds to buy a home be significantly on the rise? See full story.

Six-pack of prudent dividend values


Though we know that the big rally off of the October lows much eventually give way to a little profit-taking, we remain optimistic about the long-term prospects for our broadly diversified portfolio of undervalued stocks.

Meanwhile, speaking at the Los Angeles chapter of the American Association of Individual Investors we gave a presentation on the �Value of Dividends� and put together some of our currently most-favored, dividend-paying names. Here's a look at 6 of our picks:
Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) is a large agricultural services company. It is in the business of converting agricultural harvest such as corn, wheat, soybeans and other products into basic ingredients for both consumer and industrial product manufacturers.
  • Value investment opportunity within the global agriculture space. Demand for food ingredients should rise with an increasing global population, and an increasing global middle class will drive demand for animal feed as meat consumption increases.
  • ADM has an extensive grain elevator and transportation network. Economies of scale grant the company a relatively better cost structure than its regional competitors.
  • Management working to balance strategic international expansion with shareholder friendly activities, such as share repurchases.
Intel (INTC) is the largest semiconductor manufacturer in the world and supplies about 75% of the CPUs used in PCs, workstations and servers.
  • Company�s strong competitive position includes a material lead in process manufacturing, which is key to preserving margins during pricing wars.
  • Company has a fortress-like balance sheet which sports low debt levels (no net debt). Also has strong free-cash-flow generation that can be used in shareholder friendly activities.
  • Appealing longer-term potential of acquisitions of McAfee and Infineon.
  • Despite the recent stock rally, Intel�s dividend is among the highest in the tech sector.
Ericsson (ERIC) is the world's leading maker of mobile communications infrastructure equipment.
  • Despite the highly competitive nature of the industry and uneven wireless operator spending (given the uncertain timing of network project updates), we believe Ericsson is in a dominant position to take advantage of the increasing popularity of smartphones and their bandwidth-hungry applications.
  • The Service business continues to steadily grow and should provide a catalyst for more equipment sales.
  • Emerging markets such as China and India are also moving from coverage build-out to capacity increases as data volume and customer counts grow exponentially.
Navios Maritime (NM) is a sea-borne shipping and logistics company focused on the transport of dry bulk commodities, including iron ore, coal and grain.
  • Company recently completed a massive fleet expansion program.
  • Despite a cautious sector outlook and prolonged periods of charter rate declines, Navios should continue to benefit from high contract coverage for its core fleet (68% in 2012 and 43% in 2013) and from ample dividend support from its affiliated companies.
  • Company has a 63% ownership stake in a lucrative South American logistics provider, an entity poised to capitalize on expanding economies worldwide and the resulting increase in import/export activity.
  • The board of directors has approved a $25 million repurchase authorization for 2012.
Norfolk Southern (NSC) is a $9.5 billion railroad operating in the Eastern United States. On 21,000 miles of track, Norfolk Southern hauls shipments of coal (29% of consolidated revenue), intermodal traffic (19%), and a diverse mix of automobile, agriculture, metal, chemical and forest products (each 7%-14%).
  • NSC is firing on all cylinders, recording record revenue, net income and EPS for the Q4 and full year.
  • Norfolk Southern pays a higher dividend yield than do other railroads. The firm advises its long-run target payout ratio is 33%.
  • Via its Pocahontas Land subsidiary, NSC owns or manages more than 1 million acres of land rich in coal, providing both captive rail volume and a lucrative commodity.
  • Operates on solid financial footing. Generates strong free cash flow.
Waste Management (WM) is the largest integrated waste services provider in the U.S., operating close to 300 active landfill transfer stations. WM has nearly a 30% domestic market share of trash hauling and almost a 40% share of overall landfill capacity.
  • Its revenue stream is well diversified both geographically and by business segment.
  • The company�s Wheelabrator segment operates 22 waste-to-energy plants that produce renewable energy.
  • Headwinds will remain for a time, but we believe the company will be able to drive long-term increased profitability via eventual favorable pricing and an improving cost structure.
  • Management still expects to generate attractive free cash flow in the coming year and continues to show a willingness to reward shareholders via dividends and share repurchases.
Learn more about this financial newsletter at John Buckingham's The Prudent Speculator.


Related articles:
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  • Buffett's Berkshire: The 'all-weather' stock
  • 4 growth & value small cap 'Best Buys'

Tech Stocks: NVIDIA Corp. (Nasdaq: NVDA) Earnings Must Show Move to Mobile

NVIDIA Corp. (Nasdaq: NVDA) will join tech stocks reporting earnings this week when it releases fourth-quarter results after the bell today (Wednesday) - and attempts to attract investors with a plan to profit from mobile computing growth.

Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters forecast quarterly earnings of 19 cents per share on $950.5 million in revenue.

The graphics chipmaker already cut its revenue outlook in January from $1.066 billion to $950 million. It said flooding in Thailand had slowed the global hard-drive market, lowering PC shipments.

NVIDIA Corp.
Stock Price History (Nasdaq: NVDA)
NVIDIA invented the graphics processing unit (GPU) in 1999, and its graphics cards are used in many desktop computers and notebooks. Graphics card sales account for 30% of the company's revenue.

But the industry is changing in a way that will render NVIDIA'S core business obsolete. Competitors are releasing new processors more advanced than NVIDIA's.

What investors should look for in Wednesday's report are NVIDIA's plans to expand beyond its PC focus into the next era of computing, and if those plans can stand up to stiff competition.

NVIDIA Corp. (Nasdaq: NVDA) and the Move to MobileIn order to remain relevant, NVIDIA has to diversify more from its focus on GPUs in desktop and notebook computers and establish a healthy presence in the mobile computing market.

Global smartphone shipments rose 55% in 2011's fourth quarter to 158 million units, according to Bloomberg News. Tablet shipments rose by 150% to hit 26.8 million.

NVIDIA has started the shift, but needs a boost to earnings to prove efforts are working.

In early 2011 it released the world's first dual-core mobile application processors, Tegra 2. Then the company launched in the fourth quarter a new chip, Tegra 3, for mobile devices. It expects to double Tegra 3 shipments in 2012 to 25 million, and should post solid growth later in the year in mobile computing chip revenue.

Tegra 2 sales slowed more than expected in the fourth quarter, which could weigh on today's earnings.

NVIDIA also announced last year the ambitious Project Denver with ARM Holdings. This is the initiative to build chip processing units (CPUs) based on ARM's processor architecture, and will be used in personal computers, servers, workstations, and supercomputers.

"ARM is the fastest-growing CPU architecture in history," said Jen-Hsun Huang, president and chief executive officer of NVIDIA. "This marks the beginning of the Internet Everywhere era, where every device provides instant access to the Internet, using advanced CPU cores and rich operating systems."

The CPUs are expected to be released in 2013.

But the company needs to keep fending off competition from Intel Corp. (Nasdaq: INTC), Qualcomm Inc. (Nasdaq: QCOM), and Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NYSE: AMD). Both Intel and AMD launched new microprocessors in 2011 more advanced than NVIDIA'S systems and eliminating the requirement for both integrated graphics chips and entry level graphics cards.

Investors will have to watch the NVDA earnings report for clues on how the company is adapting to this new tech environment.

NVIDIA Corp. (Nasdaq: NVDA) stock is up more than 18% this year, closing at $16.24 a day ahead of earnings.

News and Related Story Links:

  • Money Morning:
    3D Chips Will Deliver an Era of Radical Change
  • Forbes:
    Nvidia Looks Like $21 Stock On Eve Of Earnings
  • Forbes:
    Nvidia Goes Far Beyond GPUs, Stock Going To $21
  • Bloomberg News:
    NVIDIA Announces "Project Denver" to Build Custom CPU Cores


What Can Apple Learn From SodaStream?

A relatively small but highly-touted company named SodaStream International (SODA) disappointed investors and the stock plummeted more than 50% in 11 trading days. SodaStream sells equipment and supplies to its consumers for making their own home-made soda (razor/razor blade model). The bulls had visions of multi-decade growth as the entire addressable soft drink market is absolutely huge.

James Cramer liked it and featured the company favorably on his show. Many other analysts and commentators spoke glowingly as well, and who could argue? Since it debuted on the market in Nov '10 at $20 per share, the company delivered sales growth, earnings growth, and most importantly stock price growth to a pre-crash high of $79.72 (4x). Everything was going great for almost two years, as the market rewarded the believers and punished the skeptical. That is, until 11 days ago.

Without passing judgment on whether the bulls or bears were right or wrong, there is a major lesson to be learned that can be applied to many so-called momentum stocks. Even though sales and earnings were growing and the company was going to be the "next" long-term momentum growth story, and sages such as Cramer touted it, a small shift in perception dealt a massive death blow to many portfolios.

The bears got bled for almost two years (and I'm sure quite a few lost big money along the way), while the bulls got bludgeoned in 11 short days (and I'm sure quite a few lost big money too). If both sides can be right and wrong at nearly the same time, then the lesson is clear: Investors in momentum stocks better be careful and resist the impulse to fall in love with their version of the story (short or long). All reasonable arguments in support of valuation may be correct and logical, but the timing and execution of their validation is chosen viciously by the market.

The Apple Better Be Sweet

When reflecting on the lesson delivered by SODA, Apple (AAPL) immediately came to mind as the obvious ultimate long-term momentum growth story. While Apple's success is not in question, as almost everyone knows the story of how it created value by creating entire markets, it is relevant to test the applicability of the lessons learned from SODA's demise. Apple's stock has definitely rewarded the believers and caused severe pain to any who bet against it, but could there be a massive cliff-drop in price ahead?

Bulls will argue the fundamentals and growth trajectory certainly support AAPL at these prices and, if history repeats itself, Apple might be the first company to reach the trillion dollar valuation. Bears will argue that competition is intensifying and Apple's stellar margins are soon to swiftly erode, and if history repeats itself, then the law of large numbers will catch up to them (see Cisco (CSCO) circa 1999).

Applying the lesson from SodaStream, we could argue that both will be right over time. The bulls will consistently win, and bears lose, until the day comes that there is a small shift in perception and the bottom falls out. Can we see the bottom falling out as competitors like Google (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT) fight back? Yes. But can we see Apple beating competition and continuing to sell more and more iStuff throughout the world: Again, yes.

Again the lessons from SodaStream are simple: Be careful, and resist the impulse to fall in love with your version of the story (short or long). Momentum stocks have stories that seduce regular investors and professional traders alike. Each investor/trader has valid reasons for their convictions, but many forget the brutality of the market.

We believe that AAPL is a fantastic momentum stock and is going to continue its long-term trend (until the day comes that the perception shifts). For bulls, we would scale-down buy any corrections ranging from 10-20%, and then sell on new-high runs. However, we would also set a trailing stop at 20% from the past high, which would signal a classic bear market move. (Note: the stop would be $323.60 currently.) For bears, we would consistently buy far out of the money puts as the only strategy. This stock has gone and could go up for many more years. We would be careful to limit the investment so that you can take many "shots" over time. With a strong momentum stock like AAPL, you will be wrong many times until you finally hit the big drop.

For those who believe in long-term investing, we believe that AAPL is priced to perfection and is too rich at $380.44. While we certainly understand the stock is strong, we believe there are far superior investments for those with long-term horizons.

Momentum stocks are fun to trade and great to talk about. We understand why people have a fascination with their success. We remind our readers to remember the lessons of the past 11 days with SodaStream and be careful and stay out of love.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

11/28/2012

Clearwire Pops 23% On Sprint Agreement

Clearwire shares shot up 23% in early trading after Sprint said it would support the wireless internet provider’s LTE� network buildout.

Shares of Clearwire were up 39 cents to $2.02 just after the open.

Sprint Nextel (S) is the majority shareholder in Clearwire (CLWR) but it hadn’t been entirely clear how Clearwire’s LTE rollout melded with Sprint’s network plans. Sprint reported early Wednesday that it narrowed losses in the third quarter thanks in part to 1.3 million subscriber additions. Sprint started selling the iPhone in mid-October, which could draw consumers from Verizon (VZ) and AT&T (T).

Sprint’s loss was $301 million, or 10 cents per share, versus a loss of $911 million, or 30 cents, a year earlier. Revenue rose 2.2% to $8.33 billion. Analysts were looking for 22 cents on revenue of $8.38 billion.

Sprint shares were down nearly 6%, or 15 cents, to $2.55 in early trading.

Our old pal Eric Savitz at Forbes quotes SprintCEO Dan Hesse as saying the non-binding Clearwire “deal covers the selection and timing site nodes and involving working with manufacturers to design devices and certain chip sets for devices.”

Federal Circuit Vacates Injunction That Directed Novo Nordisk to Revise Patent Use Code for Prandin

By Jim Wasicak and Aaron Barkoff

Novo Nordisk (NVO) v. Caraco Pharm. Labs. et al. (Fed. Cir. 2010)

In the Medicare Modernization Act of 2003, Congress gave ANDA applicants who have been sued for patent infringement the statutory right to file a counterclaim seeking the delisting of the patent from the Orange Book:

If an owner of the patent or the holder of the [NDA] for the drug that is claimed by the patent or a use of which is claimed by the patent brings a patent infringement action against the [ANDA] applicant, the applicant may assert a counterclaim seeking an order requiring the holder to correct or delete the patent information submitted by the holder . . . on the ground that the patent does not claim either—(aa) the drug for which the application was approved; or (bb) an approved method of using the drug. 21 USC 355(j)(5)(C)(ii).

Pursuant to this provision, after Novo Nordisk sued Caraco (CPD) for infringement of U.S. Patent No. 6,677,358 based on Caraco’s paragraph IV certification, Caraco filed a counterclaim requesting an order directing Novo to change the Orange Book patent use code for the ‘358 patent, and thereby “correct the patent information” for the ‘358 patent.

Prandin (repaglinide) is FDA-approved for three uses: (1) repaglinide by itself (i.e., monotherapy); (2) repaglinide in combination with metformin; and (3) repaglinide in combination with thiazolidinediones. The ‘358 patent, which is the only patent listed in the Orange Book for Prandin, claims, “A method for treating non-insulin dependent diabetes mellitus (NIDDM) comprising administering to a patient in need of such treatment repaglinide in combination with metformin.” Accordingly, the original patent use code for Prandin was “Use of repaglinide in combination with metformin to lower blood glucose.”

Caraco’s ANDA contained a paragraph IV certification to the ‘358 patent and a section viii statement declaring that Caraco was not seeking approval for the repaglinide-metformin combination therapy. Because there was no overlap between Caraco’s proposed carve-out label and the repaglinide-metformin use code, FDA accepted the proposed label.

Thereafter, Novo changed the use code for the ‘358 patent to broaden it from the repaglinide-metformin combination therapy to “A method for improving glycemic control in adults with type 2 diabetes mellitus.” The new use code covered all three approved uses for Prandin, even though the ‘358 patent covered only one approved use. Caraco’s carve-out label now overlapped with the use code, and therefore FDA retracted its approval of Caraco’s proposed label and section viii statement. As a result, Caraco’s current label now includes the repaglinide-metformin combination therapy, which is stipulated to infringe claim 4 of the ‘358 patent. This prompted Caraco’s counterclaim seeking an order directing Novo to replace the new use code with the former listing.

On September 24, 2009, the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Michigan ruled (.pdf) that Caraco was entitled to the requested injunction. The court stated, “Novo, by the change in the use code narrative is attempting to extend the life of an expired patent”—namely, U.S. patent RE37,035, which broadly claims repaglinide. According to the court,

the clear legislative intent behind the 2003 amendments to Hatch-Waxman that added the counterclaim provision, section 355(j)(5)(C)(ii), [was] to curb Orange Book abuses arising from misinformation regarding listed patents.

The next day, the court issued an order (.pdf) granting the injunction sought by Caraco.

On Wednesday, in a 2–1 decision (.pdf) —over a 28–page dissent from Judge Dyk—the Federal Circuit reversed and vacated the injunction. The majority reasoned that the statutory language is clear on its face: “an approved method of using the drug” means “any approved method” (as Novo urged) rather than “all approved methods” (as Caraco argued). Further, according to the majority, its decision to vacate the injunction is consistent with the legislative intent: the counterclaim provision in the 2003 Act “sought to correct the specific issue raised in Mylan v. Thompson (Fed. Cir. 2002), i.e., to deter pioneering manufacturers from listing patents that were not related at all to the patented product or method.” In addition, the majority concluded that “the patent information” referred to in the counterclaim provision meant “the patent number and the expiration date”—not also the use code narrative.

In dissent, Judge Dyk expressed strong disagreement with the majority. He wrote:

In 2003, Congress enacted the counterclaim provision of the Hatch-Waxman Act in order to prevent manipulative practices by patent holders with respect to the Orange Book listings. These practices were designed to delay the onset of competition from generic drug manufacturers. In my view, the majority, in reversing the district court, now construes the statute contrary to its manifest purpose and allows the same manipulative practices to continue in the context of method patents.

Judge Clevenger, in a short concurring opinion, stated that, in his view, “Novo did nothing that was illegal or forbidden.” He acknowledged that FDA “may have inadvertently upset the careful balance of interests represented by the efficient dispute resolution mechanism Congress created in the Hatch-Waxman Act.” But, he concluded,

Congress is the appropriate entity to readjust, if necessary, the delicate balance it has struck between original drug manufacturers and their generic counterparts.

Caraco and Novo Nordisk have not yet commented on the Federal Circuit’s decision. It will be interesting to see whether Congress will address the issue presented by this case.

Kass: Fair Market Value Update

In large measure, the worsening macroeconomic situation in Europe, China and the U.S. is leading me to reduce further my calculation of the S&P 500's fair market value from 1430 to 1415, which is still about 4% above the cash level at Tuesday's close of trading (1363).
  • I am keeping the chances of the two tail events -- namely, a reacceleration of U.S. growth and a U.S. recession in 2013 -- at 5% each.
  • I am increasing the probability of sub-1.5% 2013 real GDP growth from 35% to 40%.
  • I am reducing the likelihood of my baseline, muddle-through scenario (defined as 2013 real GDP growth of between 1.5% and 2.5%) from 55% to 50%.
My base case of muddling through now holds a 50/50 probability and yields an S&P 500 price target of 1540, far higher than my fair market value calculation of 1415 and well above cash (1363). The probability of muddling through, however, has been lowered twice over the past five weeks and could move still lower in the next month, due to the continuation of a weakening domestic economy and the superficial bandages applied to the eurozone.Below-consensus growth (scenario No. 3 below), which is now accorded an increased 40% probability (the second-highest), yields an S&P 500 target of 1290, below both the current level of S&P 500 cash (1363) and well under my 1415 fair market value estimate. (These two most likely outcomes account for a 90% probability.)S&P cash closed yesterday at 1363. In all likelihood, I expect the S&P 500 to be contained within the range between 1290 and my fair market value of 1415 over the balance of the year, representing a slightly negative imbalance between reward and risk. This yields a generally underwhelming and less-than-compelling investment equation. Taken literally, this would mean that there are about 70-75 S&P points of risk and about 50-55 S&P points of potential reward. (In other words, there will be a premium on individual stock selection over market risk-on/risk-off decisions in the months ahead.)Today's recalculation of my S&P 500 fair market value of 1415 is about 70 S&P points, or only 5%, from my highest calculation (of 1485) back in April.My methodology, though appearing precise, recognizes the difficulty of attaining investment precision given the numerous moving parts (economic, interest rates, sentiment/psychology and exogenous factors) in its calculation. It is intended more as a thoughtful guideline (of reasonable expectations/outcomes) than an exercise that should be taken literally. (I strongly recommend that subscribers input their own probabilities and outcomes in order to produce their own market expectations.)

Scenarios

Below are the criteria and methodology I use to evaluate the S&P 500 and upon which I conclude that fair market value is approximately 1415, or about 4% above Tuesday's closing quote of 1363.Scenario No. 1 -- Economic Reacceleration Above Consensus (probability stays at 5%): The pace of U.S. economic recovery reaccelerates to above-consensus forecasts (3%+ real GDP growth) based on pro-growth fiscal policies geared toward generating job growth; corporate profit margins being preserved (with low inflation and contained wage growth); interest rates remaining low; and durable spending (housing and autos) recovering sharply as pent-up demand is unleashed. The $550 billion fiscal cliff is whittled down to only about $150 billion (subtracting less than 0.5% from 2013 real GDP) as Governor Romney wins the Presidency and the Republican Party gains control of the Senate and regains the House. Europe stabilizes (and experiences a shallow recession), and China has a soft landing (with GDP growth tracking in excess of 8%). There is no QE3. S&P 500 profit estimates for 2013 are raised to $110-$113 per share. Stocks, valued at 15.5x under this outcome, have 27% upside over the next eight months. S&P target is 1725.Scenario No. 2 -- Recession (probability stays at 5%): The U.S. enters a recession precipitated by a loss of business and consumer confidence, producing a fall in manufacturing output and personal consumption expenditures. The Democratic Party regains the White House and the Senate, but the Republicans maintain control of the House of Representative. The schism between the two parties persists. Partisanship leads to rancor during summer debt-ceiling deliberations (instituted because of slowing nominal GDP) similar to that of August 2011. Confidence deteriorates further, and the housing market seizes up as bank lending becomes more restrictive when the fiscal cliff is not remedied/addressed (the hit to GDP is -1.5% to -2.0%). QE3 is instituted but fails to contain the economic weakness. A series of European bank failures and EU sovereign debt defaults contribute to a deepening European recession and a hard landing in China and India. S&P 500 earnings estimates for 2013 are materially reduced to $75 to $80 per share. Stocks, valued at 11.5x under this outcome, have 34% downside risk over the next eight months. S&P target is 890.

Scenario No. 3 -- Below-Consensus Economic Growth (probability goes from 35% to 40%): The U.S. experiences a disappointing sub-1.5% real GDP growth rate, Europe experiences a medium-scale recession, and China's economic growth disappoints modestly relative to expectations. QE3 is initiated and has a modestly favorable impact on aggregate growth. Obama regains the presidency, and the Republicans control Congress. The fiscal cliff is reduced by less than half (to $275 billion to $350 billion). The S&P 500 profit forecast for 2013 is reduced to levels slightly below 2012's results and below consensus at $98 to $100 per share, as corporations' pricing power is limited and profit margins are pressured. Stocks, valued at 13.0x under this outcome, have 5% downside risk over the next eight months. S&P target is 1290.

Scenario No. 4 -- Muddle Through (probability goes from 55% to 50%): The U.S. muddles through, with 1.5% to 2.5% real GDP growth, and the European economies suffer a modest (but contained) business downturn. China's and India's economies grow in line relative to consensus forecasts. There is no further quantitative easing. Obama regains the White House, and the Republicans control Congress. The fiscal cliff is reduced by half (to $275 billion). S&P 500 profits for 2013 trend toward a range of $107-$109 per share as some modest margin slippage occurs (coincident with escalating inflationary pressures). Stocks, valued at 14.25x under this outcome, have 13% upside over the next eight months. S&P target is 1540.>To order reprints of this article, click here: Reprints

Ex-Business Titan Rajat Gupta Guilty of Insider Trading

By Grant McCool and Basil Katz

NEW YORK -- Rajat Gupta, a consummate business insider who once sat on the board of Goldman Sachs Group, was convicted on Friday of leaking secrets about the investment bank at the height of the financial crisis, a major victory for prosecutors seeking to root out insider trading on Wall Street.

The Manhattan federal court jury delivered its verdict on its second day of deliberations, finding that Gupta had fed stock tips to his hedge fund manager friend Raj Rajaratnam, which he had gleaned from confidential Goldman board meetings.

Gupta is also a former director at Procter & Gamble and a former executive at the elite business consulting firm McKinsey & Co. He is the most prominent person convicted in the government's crackdown in the last few years on illicit trading involving hedge funds and financial consultants.

The 63-year-old Gupta was found guilty of three counts of securities fraud and one count of conspiracy. The jury acquitted him on two other securities fraud charges.

He could receive up to 25 years in prison. The maximum sentence for securities fraud is 20 years and the maximum sentence for conspiracy is five years, though it seems unlikely that he would receive such a heavy punishment. Rajaratnam was convicted of 14 counts of securities fraud and conspiracy last year and is serving an 11-year prison term.

After the verdict, an ashen-faced Gupta glanced grimly back at his wife and four daughters in the courtroom. Later, the family stood hugging each other in the courtroom as Gupta tried to console his distraught daughters.

His defense lawyer, Gary Naftalis, said Gupta is likely to appeal.

Since being implicated in the Rajaratnam case more than a year ago, Gupta has denied the charges. In addition to his business background, the Indian-born Gupta was known for his work with philanthropies fighting AIDS, malaria and tuberculosis in developing countries.

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After the verdict, jury foreman Rick Lepkowski said he was impressed by Gupta's life story and the support he received from his family, who regularly sat in the front row of the courtroom during the trial.
"I wanted to believe the allegations weren't true," said Lepkowski, a nonprofit group executive from Ossining, New York. "At the end of the day, when all of the evidence was in, it was in my opinion, overwhelming."

Among the most dramatic contentions against Gupta was prosecutors' charge that he had told Rajaratnam about a crucial $5 billion injection into Goldman by Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway at the height of the financial crisis.

Gallery: Your 7-Step Financial Tune-up Agenda
Part of the prosecution's evidence was that within a minute of disconnecting from a Sept. 23, 2008 board call approving the investment, Gupta called Rajaratnam at his Galleon Group office in New York. Rajaratnam then hurriedly ordered his traders to buy as much as $40 million in Goldman stock because only minutes remained before the market closed.

At trial, Gupta's lawyers argued that prosecutors "had no real, hard, direct evidence" against Gupta, who did not take the witness stand.

U.S. District Judge Jed Rakoff has set sentencing for Oct. 18.

The case is USA v Gupta, U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York, No. 11-907.

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Stocks for the Long Run: Brown-Forman vs. the S&P 500

Investing isn't easy. Even Warren Buffett counsels that most investors should invest in a low-cost index like the S&P 500. That way, "you'll be buying into a wonderful industry, which in effect is all of American industry," he says.

But there are, of course, companies whose long-term fortunes differ substantially from the index. In this series, we look at how members of the S&P 500 have performed compared with the index itself.

Step on up, Brown-Forman (NYSE: BF-B  ) .

Brown-Forman shares have simply crushed the S&P 500 over the last three decades:

Source: S&P Capital IQ.

Since 1980, shares have returned an average of 15.9% a year, compared with 11.1% a year for the S&P (both include dividends). A thousand dollars invested in the S&P in 1980 would be worth $29,400 today. In Brown-Forman, it'd be worth $111,200.

Dividends accounted for much of those gains. Compounded since 1980, dividends have made up about half of Brown-Forman's total returns. For the S&P, dividends account for 41.5% of total returns.

Now have a look at how Brown-Forman earnings compare with S&P 500 earnings:

Source: S&P Capital IQ.

That's pretty solid outperformance. Since 1995, earnings per share have grown by an average of 8.4% a year, compared with 6% annual growth for the broader index.

What's that meant for valuations? Not much. Brown-Forman has traded for an average of 20 times earnings since 1980 -- about the same as the 21 times earnings of the broader S&P 500.

Through it all, shares have been strong outperformers over the last three decades. �

Of course, the important question is whether that will continue. That's where you come in. Our CAPS community currently ranks Brown-Forman with a four-star rating (out of five). Do you disagree? Leave your thoughts in the comment section below, or add Brown-Forman to My Watchlist.

7 Rallying Large Caps With Bearish Options Sentiment

Many investors view the put/call ratio as a contrarian indicator – when it reaches extreme levels, it may indicate that a turnaround is imminent.

We ran a screen on large-cap companies rallying above their 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages. We screened this universe for companies seeing significant increases in their put/call ratio over the last ten trading days.

Interactive Chart: Press Play to compare changes in analyst ratings over the last two years for the top six stocks mentioned below. Analyst ratings sourced from Zacks Investment Research.

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We also created a price-weighted index of the stocks mentioned below, and monitored the performance of the list relative to the S&P 500 index over the last month. To access a complete analysis of this list's recent performance, click here.



List sorted by increase in put/call ratio.

1. Chunghwa Telecom Co. Ltd. (CHT): Telecom Services Industry. Market cap of $33.61B. The stock is currently trading at 1.37% above its 20-Day SMA, 6.62% above its 50-Day SMA, and 24.16% above its 200-Day SMA. Put/call ratio has increased 109.12% over the last ten trading days (from 10.42 to 21.79). Offers a good dividend, and appears to have good liquidity to back it up--dividend yield at 5.49%, current ratio at 2.22, and quick ratio at 2.11. The stock has gained 83.92% over the last year.

2. NTT DOCOMO, Inc. (DCM): Wireless Communications Industry. Market cap of $80.93B. The stock is currently trading at 2.29% above its 20-Day SMA, 2.85% above its 50-Day SMA, and 4.90% above its 200-Day SMA. Put/call ratio has increased 56.25% over the last ten trading days (from 0.64 to 1.00). The stock has gained 16.53% over the last year.

3. Noble Energy, Inc. (NBL): Independent Oil & Gas Industry. Market cap of $17.59B. The stock is currently trading at 6.52% above its 20-Day SMA, 10.65% above its 50-Day SMA, and 13.33% above its 200-Day SMA. Put/call ratio has increased 37.29% over the last ten trading days (from 0.59 to 0.81). The stock has had a good month, gaining 11.56%.

4. Halliburton Company (HAL): Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Industry. Market cap of $50.33B. The stock is currently trading at 0.33% above its 20-Day SMA, 7.60% above its 50-Day SMA, and 22.58% above its 200-Day SMA. Put/call ratio has increased 32.31% over the last ten trading days (from 0.65 to 0.86). The stock has gained 84.84% over the last year.

5. ACE Limited (ACE): Property & Casualty Insurance Industry. Market cap of $22.60B. The stock is currently trading at 1.08% above its 20-Day SMA, 0.46% above its 50-Day SMA, and 5.19% above its 200-Day SMA. Put/call ratio has increased 30.0% over the last ten trading days (from 0.50 to 0.65). The stock has gained 28.96% over the last year.

6. Cerner Corporation (CERN): Healthcare Information Services Industry. Market cap of $11.18B. The stock is currently trading at 4.71% above its 20-Day SMA, 8.64% above its 50-Day SMA, and 25.71% above its 200-Day SMA. Put/call ratio has increased 27.72% over the last ten trading days (from 1.01 to 1.29). The stock is a short squeeze candidate, with a short float at 11.47% (equivalent to 14.36 days of average volume). The stock has gained 71.72% over the last year.

7. Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG): Medical Appliances & Equipment Industry. Market cap of $15.65B. The stock is currently trading at 3.53% above its 20-Day SMA, 9.10% above its 50-Day SMA, and 22.70% above its 200-Day SMA. Put/call ratio has increased 25.0% over the last ten trading days (from 0.80 to 1.00). The stock has gained 21.98% over the last year.

Options data sourced from Schaeffer’s, all other data sourced from Finviz.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

What to Expect From Coca-Cola for the Rest of 2012

While Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO  ) has performed well so far this year, prolonged high input costs and fierce opposition from both likely and unorthodox competitors may hamstring a strong finish for this cola giant. Let's take a look at where Coca-Cola's been so far this year and, more importantly, what to expect for the rest of 2012.

Where Coca-Cola's been
While revenues have increased 50% during the past two years, margins are feeling the pressure because of a mix shift toward lower margin bottling operations as well as higher input costs. All cola companies are facing the challenge of higher impact costs, but you wouldn't guess it glancing at their stock performances so far this year.

KO Total Return Price data by YCharts

All of the major cola companies have enjoyed a decent 2012. Dr Pepper Snapple (NYSE: DPS  ) is up nearly 16%, Coca-Cola stock has gained roughly 12% year to date, and PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP  ) has enjoyed an 8% run-up. SodaStream (Nasdaq: SODA  ) , nipping at competitors' heels, is up nearly 7% during the same period. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 is up just shy of 8% so far this year.

Here's what to expect from Coca-Cola for the rest of this year.

Bitter predicament
High fructose corn syrup is a major ingredient in Coke products. As the ongoing and severe U.S. drought plays out, major producers of high fructose corn syrup like Archer-Daniels Midland (NYSE: ADM  ) are raising their prices, which affects Coke's input costs. Historically, Coca-Cola has successfully hedged corn syrup, but a prolonged drought could negatively affect the company's bottom line.

Bringing sugar water to very specific corners of the globe
Something to expect for the foreseeable future from Coke and its competitors is additional investment in emerging market nations. As you can see from the chart below, there is plenty of opportunity left for Coke in emerging market nations, namely India.

Country

Percent of Coca-Cola's Overall Unit Case Volume

Per Capita Consumption

Population

United States 20% 403 314 million
China 8% 38 1.31 billion
India 2% 12 1.21 billion
Russia 2% 73 138 million

Sources: Coca-Coca 2011 Annual Report. Per capita consumption based on an 8-ounce serving.

Competition popping up
SodaStream's gunning for major competitors, like Coca-Cola, with its "The Cage" marketing campaign. "The Cage" is filled with bottles and cans to remind consumers of SodaStream's merits in reducing the number of plastic water and soda bottles in landfills. Coke's response has been threefold: Threatening lawsuits against SodaStream for use of Coke bottles in its marketing campaign, touting its own PlantBottle made partially from plants as opposed to petrochemicals, and rolling out its Coca-Cola Freestyle dispensing machines in more markets.

But don't expect Israeli SodaStream to fizzle out. Its at-home soda system is making serious inroads overseas and is currently sold in the U.S. at megaretailer Wal-Mart and Best Buy. SodaStream's products will be available on supermarket and drug stores shelves in 2014. This pesky rival boasts virtually no debt and appears undervalued with a PEG ratio of just 0.57 compared to Coke's 2.48.

No crisp dollar bills for the vending machine? No problem.
Coke has partnered with Google to pilot cashless vending machines. The system uses Google Wallet payment service that allows customers to buy vending beverages using a smartphone. Expect future investment from the company in anything that makes it easier for us to enjoy a refreshing Coke without having to dig into our pockets for change.

Stock up
Coca-Cola's upcoming two-for-one stock split will be the eleventh in the stock's 92-year history and the first since 1996. Of course, a stock split has no affect on the fundamental value of the stock.

Foolish bottom line
As you review your portfolio's mid-year performance, keep in mind Coca-Cola's prospects, merits, and challenges for the rest of 2012 and beyond. If you're looking for a great stock to add to your portfolio, check out the one stock our analysts are so excited about they've dubbed it "The Motley Fool's Top Stock for 2012." This company boasts ample emerging market exposure with tons of growth potential. This report won't be available forever, so get your free copy today.

Dollar slips; Germany’s Ifo gauge boosts euro

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) � The U.S. dollar weakened Thursday, while the euro got a boost from a stronger-than-expected jump in a closely followed gauge of German business confidence.

The euro EURUSD �rose to $1.3367, from $1.3246 in North American trading late Wednesday.

The shared currency climbed as high as $1.3373, the loftiest level against the dollar since mid-December.

The ICE dollar index DXY , which measures the U.S. unit against a basket of major currencies, fell to 78.677 from 79.207 Wednesday.

The Munich-based Ifo Institute�s index tracking the business climate in Germany, Europe�s largest economy, improved to 109.6 in February from 108.3 in January, easily trumping expectations for a reading of 108.8. Read more about Ifo results for February.

/quotes/zigman/4867933/sampled EURUSD 1.2517, +0.0004, +0.0320%

�The relative strength of Germany goes some way to explain the apparent resilience of the euro to the euro-zone crisis through most of last year and so far in 2012,� said Jane Foley, senior currency strategist at Rabobank International.

The strength of Germany and many other core euro-zone countries �in terms of current account position and debt and deficit/GDP ratios suggest that these countries would be maintaining much stronger currencies if they were operating outside� the realm of economic and monetary union, she said.

Capping the gains, the European Commission cut its forecast for euro-zone growth. The European Union�s executive arm said that the region is suffering a �mild recession� and that it now expects the region�s economy to shrink 0.3% in 2012 � a reversal from its November forecast calling for growth of 0.5%.

The revision puts the commission�s forecast move more in line with consensus expectations. Read about growth forecasts.

Among other major currencies, the British pound GBPUSD �rose to $1.5734, from $1.5673 late Wednesday. Sterling came under pressure on Wednesday after minutes of the Bank of England�s February policy meeting revealed some dissenting views in favor of a larger round of quantitative easing.

The dollar extended losses against the Japanese yen USDJPY �to trade at �80.02 from �80.24 on Wednesday, when it broke above the �80 level to set a seven-month high, benefiting as U.S. debt yields rise.

Australian dollar

The Australian dollar AUDUSD �rose 0.7% to $1.0704, with the strong Ifo reading boosted overall risk appetite, noted Adam Cole, global head of foreign-exchange strategy at RBC Capital Markets in London.

Click to Play World Bank�s warning of China crisis

China's economy will be derailed by 2030 if it doesn't commercialize its powerful state-owned enterprises, the World Bank says.

The Aussie briefly came under pressure after Prime Minister Julia Gillard called for a leadership vote, setting up an expected showdown for the Labor party leadership with Kevin Rudd. Gillard pushed Rudd, a former prime minister, out of office in a 2010 leadership battle. Read more.

Gillard is favored to prevail.

�Whatever the case, although uncertainty is never welcomed by FX markets, this has been a dysfunctional minority government with the latest twist not likely to have policy ramifications,� Cole said, noting the opposition Liberals hold a significant lead over the current government in the polls.

Make Money in Health-Care Stocks with Potential the Easy Way

Exchange-traded funds offer a convenient way to invest in sectors or niches that interest you. If you expect the health-care industry to generate a lot of profits over the years as our population grows and ages, the PowerShares Dynamic Healthcare ETF (NYSE: PTH  ) could save you a lot of trouble. Instead of trying to figure out which companies will perform best, you can use this ETF to invest in lots of them simultaneously.

It's referred to by some as an "enhanced" index fund, tracking the Dynamic Healthcare Intellidex Index. The index looks at a variety of measures to select health-care stocks that seem to have the most potential.

The basics
ETFs often sport lower expense ratios than their mutual fund cousins. This ETF's expense ratio -- its annual fee -- is a relatively low 0.60%.

The ETF has performed reasonably, having outperformed the S&P 500 over the past five years, on average, and the ETF is ahead of the index so far this year as well. As with most investments, of course, we can't expect outstanding performances in every quarter or year. Investors with conviction need to wait for their holdings to deliver.

What's in it?
Several of this ETF's components made strong contributions to its performance this year. Spectrum Pharmaceuticals� (Nasdaq: SPPI  ) , for example, has doubled so far in 2011, boosted by the strong reception its Fusilev drug is receiving as a way to combat side effects of chemotherapy. Its non-Hodgkin's lymphoma treatment, Zevalin,�has just become more convenient to use, which may attract more prescriptions.

Intuitive Surgical (Nasdaq: ISRG  ) gained about 71%. It's a big player in the emerging niche of robotic surgery, along with companies such as MAKO Surgical (Nasdaq: MAKO  ) . Intuitive's revenue and earnings have been growing by more than 30% annually, on average, over the past five years as more hospitals buy its machines and then keep paying for their supplies and services.

Questcor Pharmaceuticals (Nasdaq: QCOR  ) has more than tripled in 2011, as its Acthar drug for multiple sclerosis, infantile spasms, and nephrotic syndrome is selling well -- despite competition from Pfizer's (NYSE: PFE  ) Solu-Medrol and others. (Pfizer, another holding of the ETF, gained about 22% over the year.)

Other companies didn't add as much to the ETF's returns this year, but could have an effect in the years to come. Medical insurance specialist CorVel (Nasdaq: CRVL  ) is down 9% so far this year, but its revenue has been steadily increasing in recent quarters. (Its cash level dropped significantly in the last quarter, though.)

The big picture
Demand for health-care products and services isn't going away anytime soon. A well-chosen ETF can grant you instant diversification across any industry or group of companies -- and make investing in and profiting from it that much easier.

Learn about the best dividend ETFs. And if you're looking for some great investments beyond ETFs, consider these 10 Stocks for Your Retirement Portfolio.

Best Stocks To Invest In 7/19/2012-2

Google Android Malware Jumps 3,325 Percent in Last Seven Months of 2011 Alone; New Scheme Tricks Consumers Into Paying for Free Apps

SUNNYVALE, CA — (CRWENEWSWIRE) -02/15/12 - Juniper Networks (NYSE:JNPR) released findings today from its 2011 Mobile Threats Report, showing that mobile malware has reached a new stage of maturation. The report, conducted by the Juniper Networks Mobile Threat Center — the only threat center in the world devoted exclusively to mobile security research — is one of the largest first-hand quantitative research studies of its kind.

Top findings from Juniper’s 2011 Mobile Threats Report are evidence of accelerating attacks on mobile devices:

1. There is more malware than ever before. 2011 saw a record number of mobile malware attacks — particularly to the Google Android platform.

2. Mobile malware has gotten smarter. Cybercriminals continue to hone their craft by finding new ways to exploit vulnerabilities and human behavior for profit across all mobile platforms and devices.

3. The barrier to entry is low. Data shows an evolution from sophisticated, complex and deep technical attacks to schemes that are lightweight, social and able to deliver fast profits. As mobile users download more applications than ever before, applications themselves are becoming the “killer app” for hackers and the most popular way to compromise devices.

Click to Tweet: @JuniperNetworks Global Research Shows Mobile Malware Accelerating http://bit.ly/JNPRnewz

The Juniper Networks Mobile Threat Center examined more than 790,000 applications and vulnerabilities across every major mobile device operating system to inform its 2011 Mobile Threats Report.

Additional Key Findings Include:

From 2010 to 2011, the Juniper Networks Mobile Threat Center identified a 155 percent increase in mobile malware across all mobile device platforms.
In the last seven months of 2011 alone, malware targeting the Android platform jumped 3,325 percent.
In 2011, spyware and SMS Trojans comprised the vast majority of malware targeting mobile devices, at 63 percent and 36 percent respectively.
Research into Apple iOS security remains limited given the closed nature of its platform; but in 2011, security researchers were successful in getting an unapproved application onto the Apple App Store.
A new attack method dubbed “Fake Installers” was the fastest growing type of malware found in 2011. Fake Installers trick victims into unknowingly paying for pirated versions of popular applications that are normally free.
In addition to the rising threat of malware, consumers and enterprises remain susceptible to a very low-tech risk: lost or stolen mobile devices. In the last year alone, nearly one in five users of Junos(R) Pulse Mobile Security Suite — Juniper’s comprehensive mobile device security and management solution — required a locate command to identify the whereabouts of a mobile device.

Supporting Quotes:

“The rapid growth in mobile malware combined with ongoing concerns about lost and stolen devices illustrate just how important of an issue mobile security is — and that it is an issue that affects everyone, not just corporations. At Juniper, we believe building trust in mobility is just as important as building great networks and powerful applications.”
-Dan Hoffman, chief mobile security evangelist, Juniper Networks

“It is vital that consumers and businesses take the necessary security precautions when using mobile devices. Securing mobile devices requires a combination of safeguarding connections from interception, securing data in transit from prying eyes or theft, protecting against fast-propagating malware, possessing the tools to manage devices and apps, and securing the data, usernames and passwords on them in the event that they are lost or stolen.”
-Sanjay Beri, vice president and general manager, Junos Pulse Business Unit, Juniper Networks

Additional Resources:

Video: About the Juniper Networks 2011 Mobile Threats Report
Video: How to Protect Your Mobile Life
Infographic and Blog Post: Juniper Mobile Security Report 2011 — Unprecedented Mobile Threat Growth
Blog Post: The Security Focus on Android: Fair or Unfair?
Blog Post: Protecting Corporate and Personal Information From New Attacks on Mobile Devices
Juniper on Twitter
Juniper on Facebook
Information on Juniper Networks Junos Pulse Mobile Security Suite

The Juniper Networks Mobile Threat Center is based out of Juniper’s Mobile Center of Excellence located in Columbus, OH. For more information on the 2011 Mobile Threats Report, visit www.juniper.net/security.

About Juniper Networks

Juniper Networks is in the business of network innovation. From devices to data centers, from consumers to cloud providers, Juniper Networks delivers the software, silicon and systems that transform the experience and economics of networking. Additional information can be found at Juniper Networks (www.juniper.net).

Juniper Networks and Junos are registered trademarks of Juniper Networks, Inc. in the United States and other countries. The Juniper Networks and Junos logos are trademarks of Juniper Networks, Inc. All other trademarks, service marks, registered trademarks, or registered service marks are the property of their respective owners.

Source: Juniper Networks, Inc.

Contact:
Media Relations:
Danielle Hamel
Juniper Networks
+1 408 936-7817
dhamel@juniper.net
Investor Relations:
Kathleen Nemeth
Juniper Networks
+1 408-936-5397
kbela@juniper.net

 

THIS IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY SECURITY!